Tuesday, September 25, 2018

The War on Iran

Russia says the S-300 missile system will be delivered to Syria in two-week's time. There is some debate as to whether this is a "game changer" for Israel. It seems to me that now Israel will have to clear all of its attacks on Syria with Russia, something Israel says it already does through the use of a deconfliction line, or risk having its planes shot down by the Russian operated S-300.

The terror attack on Ahvaz appears to be the official announcement of the coming war on Iran. The U.S. position on Syria has changed right before our eyes. It is now explicitly linked to Iran, with Bolton declaring that U.S. troops will stay in Syria as long as Iranian forces are there.

War is coming to Iran, and when that happens I don't have much confidence that Europe will be of much help.

The silver lining here is that the coming conflict will reanimate the antiwar movement in the West. Right now there is no antiwar movement to speak of. Without an antiwar movement within a warfare state like the U.S. you can't say there is a functioning democracy.

November is key. Trump will lose big in the midterms and the U.S. oil embargo on Iran will be launched.

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