Monday, January 22, 2018

Trump Thinks He Has a Winner with the Government Shutdown

In "Government Shutdown Goes Into Monday as Senate Inches Toward Deal" by Nicholas Fandos and Thomas Kaplan the deal being inched towards is this:
[T]he government would stay open through early February, to be coupled with a promise that the Senate would tackle the issue of immigration in the coming weeks.
In other words, another short-term continuing resolution, this one to expire February 8, followed by another government shutdown if immigration is not dealt with.

To me, this seems worse than letting the current shutdown continue. As Fandos and Kaplan mention, the problem with kicking the can down the road a couple of weeks, there is no guarantee that a stand-alone vote in the Senate on DACA  accomplishes anything:
The talk of promised action on immigration also raised other questions, including whether a pledge from Mr. McConnell like the one he offered on Sunday could be a significant enough assurance for Senate Democrats who are worried about the fate of the Dreamers. For instance, a promise of a Senate vote on a stand-alone immigration bill would still leave the possibility that the measure would die in the House, potentially leaving the DACA issue unresolved.
The bombshell of the story -- and proof that this shutdown is owned by the GOP -- is Schumer's statement that during his Friday night one-on-one with Trump at the White House he gave the president what he asked for -- funding for the wall -- only for Trump to say no to Schumer's yes:
Mr. Schumer’s 11th-hour negotiations with Mr. Trump on Friday have proved to be a focal point for both parties as they have cast blame. On Sunday, Mr. Schumer said that during their meeting at the White House, Mr. Trump had “picked a number” that he wanted to fund a border wall and that Mr. Schumer had accepted in exchange for protections for Dreamers. Hours later, he said, Mr. Trump walked away from a tentative agreement.
“I essentially agreed to give the president something he has said he wants, in exchange for something we both want,” Mr. Schumer said on the Senate floor. “The president must take yes for an answer. Until he does, it’s the Trump shutdown.”
Clearly Trump and the Republicans feel as if they can't lose. If the shutdown continues, they will be able to tar the Democrats with closing the government on behalf of illegal immigrants. If the Democrats fold, the GOP will have effectively split the Democratic Party.

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