Showing posts with label Pedro Sanchez. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Pedro Sanchez. Show all posts

Wednesday, July 24, 2019

"Podemos Still Doesn't Understand the World is Heading Towards Chaos"

One can scramble about online in vain trying to find an explanation as to why Podemos so far refuses to form a coalition government in Spain with the Socialists. Most of the reporting boils down to a personality struggle between Socialist Party leader Pedro Sanchez and Podemos' Pablo Iglesias. Al Jazeera explains that
In a parliamentary debate on Monday, Podemos leader Pablo Iglesias accused the socialists of refusing to offer his party significant positions and wanting them to be "mere decor" in the government.
"We have to talk about content, we have to talk about programmes, and not so much about who will occupy the blue seats," Sanchez retorted on Tuesday, regarding the places reserved for the cabinet in parliament.
Sanchez's effort to form a government is important because the Socialists' performance in Spain's April general election was heralded as a stunning comeback for a mainstream party in the age of Brexit and Trump. As Raphael Minder notes in "Sánchez Struggles to Assemble New Government in Spain":
Mr. Sánchez’s surprisingly strong result in April was seen as a victory for Socialism in Europe. It also came as a relief to backers of the European Union, which he and his party support, at a time when the bloc is embattled by challenges from nationalists and populists, especially in Italy and Eastern Europe.
The political uncertainty in Spain will be watched closely by European partners, particularly President Emmanuel Macron of France. He has been hoping that Mr. Sánchez could prove a strong ally in his project to fortify the European Union as it prepares for Britain’s departure.
At the time I interpreted that the Socialists' big win was due to Sanchez campaigning against austerity and for more social spending. Macron's embrace of Sanchez refutes any idea that the Spanish Socialist Party is going to scrap neoliberalism.

For a better understanding of the issues at stake it is worth reading an interview with Manolo Monereo, "Podemos Must Become an Anti-Establishment Force Again," which appeared last month.

Monereo goes into the rise of Podemos out the Indignados/Occupy movement and how that post-meltdown political moment seems to have lapsed.

Monereo is clear. There is nothing for Podemos in a coalition with the Socialists, other than greater irrelevance. Podemos not only lost over a third of its MPs in the April elections, but it performed even worse in regional elections held in May.

Given this, one would think Iglesias will resist and Sanchez will lose again tomorrow when a second vote is held to form a government.

Monereo ends the interview with a wonderful statement on the neoliberal/neoconservatism fin de siècle in the midst of which we are presently planted:
In Spain, the establishment might be stabilizing itself once more, but the world is heading towards an almost permanent state of chaos. That’s the key thing for me. Pablo taught geopolitics but he doesn’t seem to understand it, what’s happening in the world. The world is heading towards chaos, towards a great new transition that has already begun. We’re about to enter a period similar to the one Europe witnessed between 1875 and 1914 — which saw the failure of the first wave of globalization. Now we’re about to enter the period of failure for the second wave of globalization. This is something Podemos still doesn’t understand.

Monday, April 29, 2019

Spain's General Election Results Bad News for Neoliberals

Spain's general election took place yesterday. Turnout, at over 75%, was almost 10% higher than the last general election in 2016.

There are several takeaways, chief of which is that prime minister Pedro Sanchez's Socialists have figured out a way to staunch the bleeding on the center-left. And they did it by advocating greater social spending. Sanchez called the April 28 election after his anti-austerity budget was blocked by conservatives.

Now the Socialists are by far the largest party in the Congress of Deputies. It's nearest rival, the People's Party, suffered a catastrophic set back yesterday, losing 69 seats. The People's Party is at risk of being replaced by the center-right Ciudadanos as the second-largest political party in Spain. Ciudadanos picked up 25 seats and came within 220,000 votes of the People's Party.

Another takeaway is that Vox, the far-right, ultra-nationalist, anti-immigrant party, enters Congress for the first time with a little over 10% of the vote. Vox will hold 24 seats, about the number of seats (29) that Podemos lost, but hardly the juggernaut that the media made it out to be. Podemos still has nearly double the number of seats (42) as the far-right Vox.

Raphael Minder's "Socialists Strengthen Hold in Spain Election" is a good write-up, but he makes no mention of why Sanchez won.

I think it's pretty obvious. The Socialists won in Spain because they called for more social spending. It's a winning formula. And it points the way to victory for non-centrist, non-neoliberal Democrats in the United States.