Showing posts with label Bircher. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bircher. Show all posts

Friday, March 1, 2013

Democrats Need to Return to the "50-State Strategy"

Eventually Democrats will have to come to the realization that they need to remain constantly mobilized on a national campaign footing; Howard Dean's fifty-state strategy but with resources if not at par at least in the ballpark of a presidential campaign. What are the chances that this will happen? Slim. Obama gets it; in January it was announced that Obama for American would turn into Organizing for Action, a 501(c)(4) issue-advocacy non-profit able to raise unlimited amounts of money. But chances are that it will be another Change To Win -- a reshuffling of chairs on the Titanic.

A reading of today's paper is all one needs to understand why a full-tilt Democratic mobilization is required. First, from Ashley Parker's frontpage story on Boehner's refusal to bargain on the sequester, "Boehner Halts Talks on Cuts, and House G.O.P. Cheers":
“We asked him to commit to us that when the cuts actually came on March 1, that he would stand firm and not give in, and he’s holding to that,” said Representative Steve Scalise, Republican of Louisiana and chairman of the conservative Republican Study Committee. “I think Friday will be an important day that shows we’re finally willing to stand and fight for conservative principles and force Washington to start living within its means. And that will be a big victory.” 
Representative Mick Mulvaney, a South Carolina Republican who was elected on the 2010Tea Party wave and has had his differences with the speaker, was similarly complimentary toward Mr. Boehner. 
“He’s doing exactly what he said he was going to do, and I think it’s working to our favor and to his,” Mr. Mulvaney said. “I get the feeling that our party is probably more unified right now than it has been at any time in the last several months.” 
Mr. Boehner, in some ways, finds himself the leader of the House Republicans with nowhere to actually lead. 
Among those who placed him in his post and could conceivably remove him, the test of his leadership seems to be how little action he takes. In a closed-door meeting and subsequent news conference this week, Mr. Boehner said the House was done negotiating over spending cuts until the Senate “begins to do something.” 
Mr. Boehner began the new Congress on shaky footing, a seemingly chastened man. Speculation swirled that he might not be able to hold on to his speakership (he did), and he was forced to pass two major pieces of legislation — a last-minute New Year’s Eve deal to avert automatic tax increases, and a Hurricane Sandy relief bill — without the support of the majority of his conference through the help of Democratic votes. On Thursday, Mr. Boehner again moved a piece of legislation through the House without majority support from his rank and file — the Violence Against Women Act. 
The result showed that conservatives seem willing to give him some running room on social issues as long as he holds firm on the fiscal front. 
Amid clamoring from his more conservative members, Mr. Boehner eventually reaffirmed his own conservative principles, abandoning even the pretense of reaching a bipartisan solution on the spending cuts. He argued that the president had gotten his desired tax increases in the earlier showdown. And he promised no more one-on-one negotiating sessions meetings with Mr. Obama, whose political fortitude he questioned publicly and privately.
It's the Tea Party triumphant. The Tea Party is calling the tune and Boehner is dancing the jig. There is where we're at. Birchers run the show. They're safe in gerrymandered districts, districts which could soon be multiplying if the Roberts Court scraps Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act. Charlie Savage outlines the devastating impact of losing Section 5 in a story, "Decision on Voting Law Could Limit Oversight," that appears alongside the sequester coverage:
J. Gerald Hebert, who formerly handled voting rights litigation for the Justice Department and is now in private practice, said that losing Section Five would be “devastating to protecting voting rights” because the costs of a lawsuit are so steep. Jon Greenbaum, the legal director for the Lawyers’ Committee for Civil Rights Under Law, said it would mean that the bulk of changes that now receive automatic scrutiny by the federal government could take effect without any review, eliminating a deterrent against mischief.
Minus a full-tilt mobilization this is our present and our future. The nation is run by neo-Dixiecrat, John Birch Society conservatives. Their power base is the House of Representatives, thanks to the gerrymander and corporate cash, which has been and will continue to be augmented by their other base of power, the Supreme Court.

Paul Krugman's column this morning is a good one, "Ben Bernanke, Hippie." In it he compares those who argued against invading Iraq during the Bush-fomented war hysteria in late 2002, early 2003 to those who have been arguing against implementing austerity during a global recession. In both cases critics of elite groupthink were dismissed as Hippies. Krugman's point is that Bernanke's energetic defense, during an appearance before the Senate on Tuesday, of government action to stimulate a depressed economy has turned him into a Hippie.

Is there a better way to wrap things up here on Friday morning than a track off one of my all-time favorite Hippie albums? Here's "The Poor Ditching Boy," from Richard Thompson's Henry the Human Fly (1970):

Wednesday, December 5, 2012

GOP Budget Strategy

Ever since William Greider's interview with David Stockman appeared thirty-one years ago the basic goals of the post-Nixon Republican Party have been on full public display.  First, bring down the top tax rates; second, blow up the debt in order to cut back social programs down the line.

This is what we're dealing with in the fiscal cliff, coming to terms with decades of entrenched conservative thinking and governance.  Combine this with the collapse of the Southern Strategy for winning presidential elections and you get a sense of the high stakes at play for Republicans.
We're at one of those unique moments when change is afoot.  The bedrock of national GOP hegemony is breaking.

Today's front page offering from Jonathan Weisman adds a lot of necessary detail to the negotiations.  Apparently -- I didn't know this -- we're going to reach the national debt limit again sometime next month or the month after.  This is the ace in the hole for the GOP.  The threat of a default worked well for them last year.  It caused a meltdown in the Dow and forced Obama to heel.  They will not bargain this away.  Worst case scenario for Republican strategists: sail off the cliff January 1; wait until a vote to raise the borrowing limit; then extort deep cuts in Medicare and Social Security plus a return of the Bush tax cuts.  It's an apocalyptic option, but, as Weisman points out, most Republicans in the House feel secure:
Popular opinion seems to be running against the Republicans. Most Americans support higher taxes on the rich, and a poll by The Washington Post and the Pew Research Center released Tuesday found that 53 percent say Republicans in Congress would and should be blamed if Washington fails to reach a deal before January. Just 27 percent said Mr. Obama would deserve more blame, while 12 percent say both sides would share the blame equally.

Most Republicans do not want tax rates to rise on anyone, and such national polls have little sway over House members in districts drawn to favor one party over the other. In November, 204 Republicans — 88 percent of the House Republican Conference — won at least 55 percent of the vote, according to David Wasserman, a House analyst at The Cook Political Report. Thirty-five of them won at least 70 percent.
The estate tax increase is huge.  Inheritances over $5 million currently taxed at 35 percent will go up to 55 percent for estates over $1 million.  This is a wild card.  It might be enough leverage for Obama to get a deal before December 31.

Can a Republican Party, rife with Birchers and cracker nostalgia, exorcise its Mad Mullah spirit?