Wednesday, June 7, 2017

Trump at the Abyss

Politico reports that Trump's approval rating hit a new low:
President Donald Trump’s approval rating hit another low in Quinnipiac University’s poll, which found this week that 34 percent of voters approve of his job performance and 57 percent disapprove.
Trump’s previous low in the Quinnipiac survey was a 35 percent positive and 57 percent negative rating, registered on April 4.
FiveThirtyEight's poll average is more sanguine: 38.3 Approve/55.9% Disapprove. But the trend lines are definitely negative.

My sense is that Trump is inching close to the point of no return. His Tweets following the London Bridge ISIS murder spree marked another boundary-crossing event in public diplomacy.

If you look at the Gallup history, once a prez goes south of 35% approval it is a death knell:

Gallup Historical Presidential Job Approval Statistics

Low individual measurements
Dates in officeLow approval rating
Harry TrumanFebruary 195222
Dwight EisenhowerMarch 195848
John KennedySeptember 196356
Lyndon JohnsonAugust 196835
Richard NixonJuly 1974 and Aug. 197424
Gerald FordJan. 1975 and March 197537
Jimmy CarterJune 197928
Ronald ReaganJanuary 198335
George H.W. BushJuly 199229
Bill ClintonJune 199337
George W. BushOctober 200825
Barack ObamaAug. 2011, Oct. 2011 and Sept. 201438

Truman never recovered, neither did Nixon, Carter and W. Only Bush I did, and that was as a lame duck.

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